Numancia vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
39.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
MAJ
4 - 0
NUM
25%
28%
46%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2019 |
NUM
1 - 1
MAL
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CDT
1 - 1
NUM
41%
29%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
NUM
1 - 2
SPO
41%
27%
31%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
EXT
0 - 1
NUM
24%
27%
49%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 1
UDL
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ALM
0 - 0
GRA
37%
27%
37%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 0
ZAR
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
MAJ
0 - 3
GRA
15%
25%
60%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
GRA
1 - 0
REU
68%
22%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |