Choco vs CD Moaña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
22.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
VER
1 - 1
CHO
49%
24%
27%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
UDA
1 - 0
CHO
39%
25%
36%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 2
PON
71%
17%
12%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 2
CHO
36%
25%
39%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 1
BAR
49%
23%
29%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CD Moaña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MOA
1 - 2
UDA
43%
24%
33%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
PON
3 - 1
MOA
34%
23%
43%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MOA
4 - 1
ATL
51%
23%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
MOA
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MOA
3 - 0
PON
23%
23%
54%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +2 |