Zwickau vs Auerbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
36.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwickau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
POS
1 - 3
ZWI
40%
27%
34%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
ZWI
3 - 2
GWW
81%
13%
6%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
ROT
2 - 0
ZWI
51%
24%
26%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
ZWI
1 - 1
EIL
42%
26%
32%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
ZWI
0 - 1
AUE
40%
27%
34%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Auerbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
AUE
3 - 3
LOK
32%
28%
41%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
BUD
2 - 1
AUE
25%
26%
49%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
POS
0 - 2
AUE
23%
27%
50%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
AUE
2 - 0
GWW
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
ZWI
0 - 1
AUE
40%
27%
34%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |