De Zweef vs Alverna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
64.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Zweef
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
VOO
4 - 2
DEZ
72%
16%
12%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
DEZ
0 - 3
AWC
20%
21%
59%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ACH
2 - 1
DEZ
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
DEZ
1 - 1
ENS
23%
22%
55%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
RHE
4 - 2
DEZ
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Alverna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
TUB
1 - 4
ALV
22%
23%
56%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ALV
2 - 0
GLA
56%
21%
22%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
GER
2 - 1
ALV
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ALV
1 - 3
PHA
77%
14%
8%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VOO
0 - 2
ALV
28%
23%
49%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |