De Zweef vs Achilles '12 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
51.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Zweef
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ENS
5 - 2
DEZ
81%
13%
7%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
DEZ
2 - 1
RHE
30%
24%
46%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
DEZ
1 - 4
SDO
24%
23%
54%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
JON
0 - 4
DEZ
75%
16%
9%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
DEZ
3 - 3
DEB
13%
19%
68%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | +2 |
Matches
Achilles '12
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ACH
3 - 0
SDO
35%
24%
42%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
JON
2 - 4
ACH
53%
23%
25%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ACH
0 - 1
DEB
22%
22%
55%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ALV
0 - 2
ACH
75%
16%
10%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ACH
0 - 2
TUB
44%
24%
32%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |