Zwaluwen .30 vs Spakenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
56.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwaluwen .30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
BEN
3 - 1
ZWA
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
ZWA
0 - 1
GVV
25%
25%
50%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
SVG
2 - 2
ZWA
43%
23%
34%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
ZWA
0 - 2
HOE
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
SDC
1 - 4
ZWA
33%
24%
44%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Spakenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
SPA
1 - 1
DOV
80%
13%
7%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
JOD
2 - 3
SPA
23%
24%
54%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
SPA
4 - 1
SPA
53%
22%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
AJA
0 - 1
SPA
19%
24%
57%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
SPA
3 - 4
KOZ
69%
18%
13%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |