Zwaluwen .30 vs Alexandria .66 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
13.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwaluwen .30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
FSP
2 - 0
ZWA
34%
22%
44%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ZWA
2 - 1
VAL
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
HED
0 - 1
ZWA
45%
22%
33%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
ZWA
2 - 3
FSP
63%
19%
19%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
DEL
1 - 1
ZWA
58%
22%
21%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Alexandria .66
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ALE
1 - 1
SCN
30%
24%
46%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
NOO
1 - 1
ALE
62%
21%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
ALE
0 - 1
VIT
54%
23%
24%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
ALE
4 - 5
ORA
48%
24%
29%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
HEE
0 - 2
ALE
54%
22%
25%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |