Zvijezda vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
40.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvijezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
SLA
3 - 1
ZVI
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
ZVI
2 - 0
VEL
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
GOS
2 - 1
ZVI
23%
27%
50%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
ZVI
1 - 0
SLO
62%
23%
15%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BBL
1 - 2
ZVI
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
SAR
2 - 2
ZEL
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
OSA
1 - 0
SAR
30%
28%
42%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SAR
2 - 0
ZRI
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
TRA
1 - 2
SAR
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
SAR
3 - 1
RUD
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |