Zvijezda 09 vs FK Tuzla City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
58.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
12º
12º
12º
27
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvijezda 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 0
ZBE
80%
14%
5%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
BBK
1 - 3
ZBE
7%
12%
81%
|
51 | 9 | 42 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ZBE
0 - 2
POS
26%
26%
47%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SIR
2 - 1
ZBE
73%
19%
8%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
BBL
4 - 2
ZBE
82%
14%
4%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
FK Tuzla City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
POS
1 - 1
SLO
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 4
ZRI
30%
28%
42%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 2
BBL
31%
28%
41%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 1
SLO
23%
25%
52%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SLO
3 - 1
IGM
56%
24%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |