Zvijezda 09 vs FK Tuzla City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
54.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
12º
12º
12º
27
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvijezda 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
VEL
3 - 1
ZBE
81%
14%
5%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ZBE
1 - 2
GOS
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
ZRI
4 - 0
ZBE
84%
12%
4%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ZBE
2 - 3
SIR
21%
26%
53%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
BBL
3 - 1
ZBE
78%
16%
6%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
FK Tuzla City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
GOS
1 - 0
SLO
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
SLO
3 - 1
SIR
43%
27%
31%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
POS
1 - 1
SLO
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
SLO
1 - 5
SAR
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SLO
3 - 1
SLO
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |