Zvezdara vs Torlak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
36.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
5º
4º
36
1º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvezdara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BRO
2 - 0
ZVE
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ZVE
2 - 0
PRV
57%
24%
19%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
STV
0 - 0
ZVE
18%
21%
62%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ZVE
2 - 1
TEL
49%
26%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ZVE
1 - 1
BUD
21%
25%
54%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Torlak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
FKT
2 - 1
FBL
85%
10%
5%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SIN
4 - 1
FKT
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FKT
1 - 2
BAS
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BEO
1 - 1
FKT
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
SGR
0 - 1
FKT
20%
23%
56%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |