Zvezdara vs Crvena Zvezda MML analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvezdara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
BRO
2 - 1
ZVE
22%
23%
56%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
ZVE
0 - 2
KOL
52%
24%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ZVE
3 - 2
BSK
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
RAD
0 - 0
ZVE
19%
22%
59%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ZVE
1 - 0
GRA
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda MML
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CZM
1 - 1
RNB
44%
23%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CZM
3 - 0
BRO
39%
23%
38%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CZM
1 - 3
KOL
19%
24%
57%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
BSK
2 - 4
CZM
53%
21%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CZM
1 - 1
RAD
30%
21%
49%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |