Zvezdara vs BASK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvezdara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
STV
2 - 1
ZVE
37%
27%
37%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ZVE
1 - 0
PRV
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BUD
1 - 3
ZVE
46%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ZVE
5 - 1
FKT
63%
19%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
JED
1 - 3
ZVE
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
BASK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 4
RAD
9%
19%
72%
|
38 | 65 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 0
RAD
30%
23%
47%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +3 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BRO
1 - 0
BAS
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 1
DOR
48%
22%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TEL
1 - 1
BAS
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |