Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Dinamo Vologda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
47.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
+43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
13º
16º
16º
51
5º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 14 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zvezda St. Petersburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SAT
5 - 1
ZSP
73%
15%
12%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
ZSP
1 - 1
FKI
35%
22%
44%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
SPA
6 - 0
ZSP
85%
11%
4%
|
34 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
ZSP
1 - 4
ZEN
26%
25%
50%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
ZSP
2 - 4
TVE
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Dinamo Vologda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
DVO
2 - 1
LUK
61%
20%
20%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
FBK
1 - 0
DVO
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
DVO
5 - 1
ZNA
61%
20%
19%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
FYK
1 - 1
DVO
22%
20%
58%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2024 |
DVO
2 - 0
TOR
34%
26%
40%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +3 |