Zurrieq FC vs Mtarfa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
5º
16º
5º
14
9º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
17º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurrieq FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ZUR
1 - 2
ATT
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FUN
1 - 4
ZUR
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
ZUR
35%
25%
40%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
ZUR
1 - 1
TAR
27%
25%
49%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
ZUR
1 - 4
NAX
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Mtarfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 1
MTA
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MTA
2 - 1
TAR
24%
22%
53%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MTA
2 - 1
SWI
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
LIJ
0 - 0
MTA
59%
21%
21%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MTA
0 - 0
MEL
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |