Zurich vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
ZUR
0 - 0
ATR
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2018 |
BOC
3 - 0
ZUR
30%
25%
45%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
ZUR
1 - 2
FCV
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
ZUR
4 - 1
STG
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2018 |
ZUR
4 - 2
WIL
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
THU
4 - 0
STA
74%
17%
10%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
THU
3 - 2
CHI
79%
15%
7%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
THU
2 - 3
FCA
65%
19%
15%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
THU
1 - 0
WIL
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
THU
3 - 0
RAP
66%
20%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |