Zurich vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
BAS
3 - 1
ZUR
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ZUR
2 - 5
FCL
36%
26%
39%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
TAV
1 - 6
ZUR
3%
8%
89%
|
79 | 20 | 59 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
SIO
3 - 1
ZUR
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
STG
0 - 2
ZUR
31%
25%
44%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
THU
0 - 2
SIO
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
THU
3 - 3
SPA
32%
26%
43%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
THU
1 - 0
FCV
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2015 |
SPA
3 - 1
THU
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
SOL
0 - 4
THU
9%
18%
74%
|
79 | 44 | 35 | 0 |