Zurich vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ZUR
0 - 0
BAS
33%
25%
42%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FCL
1 - 0
ZUR
34%
25%
41%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
YOB
1 - 3
ZUR
45%
23%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
ZUR
3 - 1
GCZ
42%
26%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 2
ZUR
28%
23%
48%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
STG
1 - 0
THU
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
THU
2 - 2
LAU
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 4
THU
43%
26%
32%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
THU
2 - 2
BAS
27%
24%
49%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
THU
3 - 1
SIO
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |