Zurich vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
SIO
4 - 2
ZUR
25%
26%
49%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
ZUR
2 - 0
THU
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
YOB
2 - 4
ZUR
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
ZUR
4 - 1
FCL
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
GCZ
0 - 1
ZUR
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
THU
2 - 2
YOB
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
ZUR
2 - 0
THU
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
SIO
0 - 1
THU
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
THU
3 - 0
STG
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
THU
2 - 0
LAU
63%
21%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |