Zurich vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
18.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 1
ZUR
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
THU
2 - 4
ZUR
31%
25%
44%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
GCZ
0 - 1
ZUR
27%
25%
48%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
ZUR
0 - 1
SER
58%
24%
18%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ZUR
1 - 5
BAS
28%
25%
48%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
THU
0 - 0
LAU
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
THU
2 - 4
ZUR
31%
25%
44%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
FCL
0 - 1
THU
63%
22%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
THU
2 - 2
YOB
24%
25%
51%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 1
THU
74%
16%
9%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |