Zurich vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
17.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ZUR
2 - 0
GCZ
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 1
ZUR
39%
25%
37%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
ZUR
2 - 0
VAS
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ZUR
1 - 1
SIO
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SER
0 - 1
ZUR
25%
23%
52%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
THU
1 - 1
FCL
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
GCZ
0 - 1
THU
55%
25%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
THU
1 - 1
YOB
23%
24%
53%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
GCZ
1 - 0
THU
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
THU
3 - 0
SER
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |