Zurich vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 1
ZUR
50%
23%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
ZUR
2 - 1
GCZ
53%
23%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
STG
3 - 1
ZUR
32%
25%
43%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2006 |
ZUR
3 - 1
YOB
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2006 |
RBS
2 - 0
ZUR
37%
27%
36%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
THU
0 - 1
SIO
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2006 |
THU
0 - 2
STG
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2006 |
BAS
4 - 1
THU
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2006 |
THU
1 - 0
SCH
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2006 |
GCZ
4 - 1
THU
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |