Zurich vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
FCA
3 - 3
ZUR
49%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
ZUR
3 - 1
WIL
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
GCZ
1 - 0
ZUR
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2003 |
NEX
2 - 1
ZUR
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
ZUR
2 - 2
STG
43%
26%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
THU
0 - 0
NEX
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2003 |
YOB
2 - 1
THU
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
THU
0 - 4
BAS
24%
22%
54%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
STG
1 - 1
THU
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
THU
3 - 2
GCZ
23%
22%
56%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |