Q. Europa League 2nd Round Final
Global 2-2
Zurich vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
GCZ
2 - 2
ZUR
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
ZUR
2 - 1
YOB
36%
26%
38%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
FCA
2 - 1
ZUR
32%
26%
42%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2008 |
ZUR
1 - 0
FCL
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2008 |
NEX
1 - 2
ZUR
34%
26%
40%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
KAP
1 - 3
STR
28%
26%
46%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
AUK
0 - 2
STR
27%
28%
45%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
STR
0 - 0
AUS
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2008 |
ALT
1 - 0
STR
29%
26%
45%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
BUD
1 - 2
STR
40%
26%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |