Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 2-4
Zurich vs Slovan Liberec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
ZUR
1 - 3
YOB
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
SLI
2 - 1
ZUR
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
FCL
3 - 2
ZUR
33%
26%
41%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
SIO
0 - 0
ZUR
27%
25%
48%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
ZUR
3 - 2
THU
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Slovan Liberec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
MBO
4 - 0
SLI
39%
25%
36%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
SLI
2 - 1
ZUR
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
SLI
2 - 1
SLP
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
SLI
1 - 0
FCS
55%
23%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
SIG
1 - 2
SLI
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |