Zurich vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
5º
4º
57
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 1
ZUR
8%
15%
77%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ZUR
1 - 1
STA
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
YOB
0 - 0
ZUR
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ZUR
3 - 2
WIN
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCL
1 - 4
ZUR
40%
25%
35%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
STA
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SER
4 - 2
FCL
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
SHF
1 - 1
SER
41%
24%
35%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 1
SER
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LUG
0 - 1
SER
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |