Zurich vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2022 |
LUG
2 - 1
ZUR
28%
26%
47%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
ZUR
2 - 2
LAU
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
STG
1 - 2
ZUR
45%
24%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
BAS
0 - 2
ZUR
52%
22%
26%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ZUR
5 - 1
SIO
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2022 |
FCL
2 - 2
YOB
23%
23%
54%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
SIO
1 - 3
FCL
32%
27%
42%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
FCL
4 - 0
SER
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
FCL
3 - 0
LAU
52%
25%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
BAS
3 - 0
FCL
72%
17%
11%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |