Zurich vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ZUR
1 - 0
YOB
30%
24%
46%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
SIO
0 - 1
ZUR
30%
25%
46%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
STU
1 - 0
ZUR
44%
24%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SER
1 - 2
ZUR
34%
25%
42%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ZUR
3 - 3
BAS
26%
23%
51%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
FCL
1 - 3
BAS
22%
23%
55%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
LUG
3 - 1
FCL
38%
27%
35%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
FCL
0 - 1
SIO
54%
23%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
LAU
1 - 1
FCL
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
SCH
0 - 2
FCL
19%
22%
59%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | +1 |