Zurich vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
29.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BLA
1 - 3
ZUR
6%
12%
83%
|
79 | 42 | 37 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
THU
1 - 4
ZUR
32%
25%
43%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
ZUR
1 - 2
BAS
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
LAU
0 - 2
ZUR
21%
25%
54%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ZUR
1 - 1
YOB
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 1
SER
63%
22%
16%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 0
BAS
31%
25%
44%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SIO
3 - 2
FCL
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FCL
2 - 1
THU
56%
24%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
GCZ
2 - 0
FCL
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |