Zurich vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
THU
0 - 2
ZUR
24%
23%
53%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ZUR
0 - 1
BAS
30%
25%
45%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
ZUR
1 - 1
LAZ
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
FCA
1 - 3
ZUR
12%
18%
70%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
GCZ
3 - 0
ZUR
26%
24%
50%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
FCL
2 - 0
LAU
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FCL
1 - 2
NEX
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LAN
1 - 3
FCL
8%
15%
76%
|
79 | 43 | 36 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
YOB
1 - 0
FCL
65%
19%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
FCL
2 - 0
SIO
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |