Zurich vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
YOB
2 - 1
ZUR
55%
22%
23%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
SIO
1 - 1
ZUR
28%
25%
47%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
ZUR
0 - 0
NEX
63%
22%
15%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
ZUR
1 - 1
ACM
18%
21%
62%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
GCZ
1 - 0
ZUR
36%
24%
39%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
FCA
1 - 2
FCL
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
FCL
2 - 1
BEL
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
YOB
2 - 1
FCL
70%
18%
13%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
FCL
4 - 2
GCZ
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2009 |
FCL
1 - 4
STG
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |