Zurich vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2005 |
SCH
2 - 1
ZUR
23%
25%
53%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
YOB
1 - 1
ZUR
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2005 |
THU
5 - 1
ZUR
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
BAS
3 - 2
ZUR
66%
19%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
ZUR
3 - 1
YOB
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2005 |
FCL
1 - 0
LUG
40%
25%
35%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
FCV
1 - 2
FCL
50%
23%
27%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2005 |
BAU
0 - 2
FCL
20%
22%
58%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
FCL
1 - 2
CHI
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2005 |
LAC
2 - 1
FCL
27%
24%
49%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | -1 |