Zurich vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
GCZ
0 - 0
ZUR
73%
17%
11%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
ZUR
2 - 3
LUG
36%
26%
37%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
NEX
1 - 1
ZUR
46%
26%
29%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
ZUR
1 - 0
FCA
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
BAS
2 - 1
ZUR
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
FCL
1 - 3
LAU
35%
25%
41%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
STG
1 - 1
FCL
74%
16%
10%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
FCL
2 - 6
SIO
30%
26%
45%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
SER
2 - 0
FCL
71%
17%
11%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
YOB
5 - 1
FCL
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |