Zurich vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
34.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
5º
4º
59
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
SER
2 - 2
ZUR
38%
25%
37%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
ZUR
2 - 0
YVE
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
SGF
2 - 3
ZUR
28%
24%
48%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
ZUR
5 - 1
SCH
73%
16%
11%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
ZUR
4 - 2
RAP
83%
12%
6%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 0
STG
41%
24%
35%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
STA
0 - 3
LUG
21%
23%
57%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
LUG
5 - 1
FCP
82%
13%
5%
|
82 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
UNT
1 - 1
LUG
12%
18%
70%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
LUG
3 - 2
BEL
77%
16%
8%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |