Zurich vs FC Lugano analysis

Zurich FC Lugano
80 ELO 82
9.1% Tilt 12.5%
270º General ELO ranking 308º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
40.6%
Zurich
24.2%
Draw
35.1%
FC Lugano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
Zurich
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
35.1%
Win probability
FC Lugano
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Zurich
-6%
-12%
FC Lugano

Points and table prediction

Zurich
Their league position
FC Lugano
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
10º
57
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Young Boys
74
74
100%
Servette
58
58
100%
FC Lugano
57
57
100%
Luzern
50
50
100%
Basel
47
47
100%
St. Gallen
45
45
100%
Grasshopper
44
44
0%
Zurich
44
44
0%
Winterthur
32
32
100%
Sion
10º
31
31
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Zurich
FC Lugano
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
0% 0%
Europa League qualifying phase
0% 100%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Zurich
FC Lugano
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zurich
Zurich
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 May. 2023
WIN
Winterthur
0 - 2
Zurich
ZUR
20%
23%
57%
80 68 12 0
21 May. 2023
ZUR
Zurich
2 - 1
Grasshopper
GCZ
54%
23%
23%
80 74 6 0
14 May. 2023
YOB
Young Boys
1 - 1
Zurich
ZUR
59%
21%
20%
80 85 5 0
07 May. 2023
BAS
Basel
0 - 2
Zurich
ZUR
55%
22%
23%
79 84 5 +1
30 Apr. 2023
ZUR
Zurich
2 - 2
Sion
SIO
56%
23%
21%
79 71 8 0

Matches

FC Lugano
FC Lugano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 May. 2023
LUG
FC Lugano
2 - 0
Young Boys
YOB
29%
24%
46%
81 85 4 0
21 May. 2023
BAS
Basel
1 - 1
FC Lugano
LUG
48%
23%
29%
81 84 3 0
14 May. 2023
LUG
FC Lugano
2 - 1
Winterthur
WIN
59%
23%
18%
81 68 13 0
07 May. 2023
FCL
Luzern
2 - 2
FC Lugano
LUG
40%
24%
36%
80 79 1 +1
29 Apr. 2023
LUG
FC Lugano
5 - 1
Grasshopper
GCZ
49%
26%
26%
80 74 6 0