Zurich vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
ZUR
2 - 1
GCZ
44%
25%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
GCZ
1 - 0
ZUR
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ZUR
1 - 1
FCL
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
STG
1 - 2
ZUR
29%
25%
46%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ZUR
2 - 4
THU
50%
25%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 4
YOB
25%
24%
51%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
STG
3 - 0
LUG
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
BAL
0 - 1
LUG
1%
4%
95%
|
77 | 12 | 65 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 0
GCZ
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 0
SIO
44%
25%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |