Zurich vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
LUG
2 - 1
ZUR
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
ZUR
1 - 2
BAD
75%
17%
8%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2000 |
THU
1 - 2
ZUR
32%
24%
44%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
SIO
1 - 0
ZUR
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
ZUR
0 - 3
DEL
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
LUG
2 - 1
ZUR
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
LUG
4 - 2
SIO
47%
25%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2000 |
LUG
1 - 0
STG
39%
24%
37%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
BAD
0 - 3
LUG
30%
28%
43%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
LUG
3 - 2
FCA
56%
24%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |