Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 3-1
Zurich vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 1
ZUR
20%
23%
57%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
ZUR
3 - 0
LIN
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
ZUR
0 - 3
SIO
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
LIN
0 - 2
ZUR
28%
23%
48%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
STG
2 - 0
ZUR
39%
24%
37%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
HOM
4 - 1
DUN
64%
22%
15%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
HIB
1 - 1
HOM
42%
26%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
HOM
2 - 1
ROS
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
HOM
2 - 1
STO
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
PNE
2 - 1
HOM
36%
25%
39%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |