Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 4-2
Zurich vs Spartak Trnava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SCH
0 - 7
ZUR
4%
9%
87%
|
82 | 8 | 74 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
TNV
1 - 3
ZUR
36%
24%
40%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
FCL
1 - 1
ZUR
31%
26%
44%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
BAS
4 - 1
ZUR
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
ZUR
2 - 1
YOB
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Trnava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
KOS
2 - 0
TNV
34%
27%
39%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
TNV
1 - 3
ZUR
36%
24%
40%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
TNV
2 - 0
RUZ
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
TNV
0 - 1
POD
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
TNV
1 - 1
STJ
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |