Zurich vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2017 |
LEM
2 - 5
ZUR
13%
22%
65%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
ZUR
2 - 1
SCH
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
ZUR
2 - 2
WIN
72%
18%
9%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ZUR
1 - 0
CHI
76%
17%
7%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
BAS
3 - 1
ZUR
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
FCA
2 - 3
WIN
70%
19%
12%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
NEX
3 - 1
FCA
52%
23%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
FCA
0 - 1
SER
57%
23%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2017 |
WIL
0 - 3
FCA
31%
25%
44%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
FCA
3 - 5
FCL
24%
23%
53%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |