Zurich vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
ZUR
0 - 0
STB
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
NEX
1 - 3
ZUR
34%
25%
41%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
ZUR
2 - 1
STG
48%
24%
29%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ZUR
5 - 2
SCH
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
STB
1 - 1
ZUR
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
FCA
1 - 1
WIN
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
FCA
2 - 0
LUG
31%
24%
46%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 1
FCA
20%
25%
55%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FCA
0 - 1
WIL
53%
23%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SER
1 - 0
FCA
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |