Zurich vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
18.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
GCZ
0 - 2
ZUR
37%
25%
38%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ZUR
0 - 1
THU
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
STG
1 - 4
ZUR
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 2
ZUR
48%
23%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
AUS
2 - 1
ZUR
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
FCL
4 - 0
FCA
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
FCA
0 - 1
FCV
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
THU
1 - 1
FCA
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2015 |
WIL
1 - 0
FCA
39%
24%
38%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
HAN
3 - 1
FCA
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |