Zurich vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2014 |
LAU
0 - 1
ZUR
17%
22%
61%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
ZUR
2 - 2
STG
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2014 |
SIO
1 - 0
ZUR
25%
25%
51%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
THU
1 - 2
ZUR
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ZUR
1 - 2
FCL
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 3
BAS
28%
24%
48%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
FCA
4 - 0
GCZ
26%
25%
49%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
YOB
2 - 2
FCA
62%
21%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
FCA
3 - 1
LAU
60%
22%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SIO
2 - 0
FCA
41%
27%
33%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |