Zurich vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
10.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
RMA
1 - 0
ZUR
79%
13%
8%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2009 |
BAS
4 - 2
ZUR
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
FCL
1 - 0
ZUR
26%
24%
51%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2009 |
MAR
6 - 1
ZUR
59%
21%
19%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
ZUR
1 - 1
SIO
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
FCA
0 - 2
STG
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
NEX
3 - 3
FCA
70%
19%
12%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
FCA
0 - 0
SIO
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
FCA
1 - 2
BEL
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
BIE
3 - 2
FCA
35%
25%
40%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |