Zurich vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
13.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
YOB
4 - 2
ZUR
53%
22%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
ZUR
0 - 1
BAS
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ZUR
3 - 0
NEX
66%
21%
13%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
FCL
1 - 3
ZUR
23%
24%
53%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ZUR
5 - 0
FCV
69%
20%
11%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
FCA
1 - 0
SIO
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
FCA
0 - 0
FCL
51%
25%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
FCA
1 - 0
GCZ
29%
26%
44%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 1
FCA
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
FCA
0 - 3
GCZ
29%
26%
44%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |