Zurich vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
SCH
0 - 1
ZUR
11%
19%
71%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2008 |
FCL
0 - 3
ZUR
23%
24%
53%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2008 |
ZUR
0 - 1
ACM
25%
27%
48%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ZUR
3 - 0
NEX
61%
23%
17%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
WID
0 - 6
ZUR
6%
14%
80%
|
83 | 27 | 56 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
STG
2 - 0
FCA
44%
25%
30%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
FCA
4 - 0
FCV
64%
22%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
SIO
1 - 1
FCA
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
BIN
2 - 6
FCA
13%
21%
65%
|
76 | 25 | 51 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
GCZ
0 - 0
FCA
65%
21%
15%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |