Zurich vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
9.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2007 |
ZUR
2 - 0
TFC
64%
22%
15%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
KRI
0 - 3
ZUR
12%
20%
68%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
YOB
1 - 1
ZUR
47%
24%
30%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
ZUR
4 - 1
SIO
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
STG
2 - 3
ZUR
26%
24%
50%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
FCA
3 - 2
NEX
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
FCL
0 - 0
FCA
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
FCA
5 - 0
THU
39%
27%
33%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
GCZ
1 - 1
FCA
63%
21%
15%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
KRI
1 - 0
FCA
35%
24%
40%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |