Zurich vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2006 |
FCL
0 - 3
ZUR
19%
23%
58%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
BAS
1 - 2
ZUR
50%
23%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
ZUR
4 - 1
YVE
79%
15%
6%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
THU
1 - 3
ZUR
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
ZUR
2 - 0
GCZ
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2006 |
FCA
1 - 1
THU
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
GCZ
0 - 0
FCA
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
FCA
1 - 0
STG
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
FCA
1 - 1
SCH
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
NEX
2 - 0
FCA
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |