Zurich vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
SCH
0 - 4
ZUR
16%
22%
62%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
FCL
2 - 0
ZUR
23%
24%
54%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
ZUR
1 - 0
YOB
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
GCZ
0 - 0
ZUR
39%
25%
36%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
ZUR
2 - 1
SIO
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
FCA
0 - 0
THU
35%
27%
39%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
GCZ
1 - 0
FCA
71%
19%
11%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
FCA
3 - 2
SCH
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
STG
1 - 0
FCA
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
FCA
2 - 3
BAS
16%
21%
64%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |