Zurich vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
ZUR
3 - 3
YOB
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
ZUR
0 - 0
SCH
75%
17%
9%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
SCH
1 - 4
ZUR
20%
24%
56%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
GCZ
0 - 0
ZUR
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
YOB
0 - 2
ZUR
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
FCA
1 - 5
BAS
22%
23%
54%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
YVE
3 - 1
FCA
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
FCA
0 - 1
THU
39%
27%
35%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
THU
1 - 1
FCA
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2006 |
FCA
3 - 1
NEX
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |